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“Bear Bets” are actual wagers that Chris “The Bear” Fallica is definitely making.
The week golf followers and bettors have waited for all yr is lastly right here. It is MASTERS WEEK!
Scottie Scheffler is the present betting favourite at +400, whereas final yr’s champion, Jon Rahm, at present sits third on the betting board at +1200. The final participant to win back-to-back championships on the Masters was Tiger Woods in 2001 and 2002.
Talking of Woods, you already know Augusta is pricey to his coronary heart. Tiger has gained this occasion six instances, together with his inconceivable victory in 2019. His odds to win all of it at present sit at +13000.
Since that is the most important event of the yr, let’s dive into the wagers I’m making for the occasion.
Will Zalatoris +115 vs. Patrick Cantlay
Will Zalatoris +138 vs. Viktor Hovland
Will Zalatoris 40-1 to win; Prime 20 +125
Zalatoris hasn’t performed properly in his earlier two occasions main as much as the Masters, however THE PLAYERS is a unusual occasion the place some folks simply don’t just like the course. And Houston is no matter. Zalatoris’ two journeys to Augusta have resulted in a runner-up and a sixth-place end. A yr faraway from again surgical procedure, he’s lastly wholesome, and if his putter runs properly, because it did at Bay Hill, the Genesis and Farmers Insurance coverage Open, he shall be an enormous issue right here.
Hovland’s worth appears off to me, particularly since he’s obtained one top-20 within the final 5 tourneys and his play across the inexperienced has been very poor lately. Cantlay is one other man folks appear to assume will break via at a significant, however the proof suggests in any other case, given his erratic season.
Cam Smith +105 vs. Dustin Johnson
Cam Smith +138 vs. Bryson DeChambeau
Cam Smith 45-1 to win; Prime 20 +160
Smith needed to withdraw from the LIV occasion at Doral final week due to meals poisoning, in order that’s tempering his probabilities in lots of people’s minds, however his monitor report right here is simply too tempting. He didn’t play properly a yr in the past, however three top-5s in a five-year span, together with his capacity to putt, makes him a contender in my thoughts. Actually way more than his fellow LIV gamers Dustin Johnson and Bryson Dechambeau. Nearly as good as Bryson is, he has extra missed cuts (2) at Augusta than top-20s (0) or top-25s (1).
Sergio Garcia -120 vs. Tom Kim
Sergio has missed a bunch of cuts right here since successful the Inexperienced Jacket — 4 in 5 years to be actual — however he’s contended recently on the LIV tour and I just like the matchup right here with Kim, who has been scuffling a bit after becoming a member of the PGA Tour with such excessive hopes. Whether or not it has been accidents, poor driving or caddie modifications, Kim can not seem to get again on monitor proper now.
Shane Lowry +115 vs. Tommy Fleetwood
Lowry has lastly figured this place out with 4 straight top-25s and may get a bit of climate, which might assist his probabilities. Fleetwood has been hit and miss right here, so I’ll go together with Lowry, who has been nice with the irons recently.
Xander Schauffele Prime 20 -165
Depend me out in relation to Xander within the win markets, however rely me in once we’re speaking top-10s and top-20s, as he’s posted a top-20 in seven straight majors and 4 of the final 5 Masters.
Jordan Spieth 25-1 to win; Prime 20 -125
This shall be a enjoyable rollercoaster journey, however I’m keen to hop on with Spieth, who has a Inexperienced Jacket and will have one or two extra. Not many handle their method round this course higher than Spieth, with an occasional hiccup on Amen Nook. Hopefully, for Spieth and his backers, his strategy pictures shall be higher this week, permitting him to place that deadly putter to work.
Make the Lower P
arlay +108
Scottie Scheffler, Xander Schauffele, Jon Rahm, Brooks Koepka, Jordan Spieth and Hideki Matsuyama.
Bear Bytes to bear in mind:
- During the last 5 years, Rory McIlroy has missed the lower twice and the thrice he made the lower, he entered the weekend outdoors the highest 20. So it has been some time since he was within the combine after 36 holes.
- Of the 5 gamers within the Masters period who accomplished the profession Grand Slam, every of them wanted three or fewer begins within the wanted main to win and end off the slam from the time they gained their third totally different main. McIlroy’s tenth try on the profession Grand Slam will come on the Masters. So, whereas Rory seemingly has many extra pictures to complete the profession slam off, historical past says for those who don’t end it off rapidly, you by no means will.
- 9 out of 12 of Max Homa’s rounds on the Masters are over par.
- Outdoors the Fall Masters in 2020, solely as soon as has Justin Thomas damaged par within the first spherical.
- Not one of the final seven winners in conventional April Masters completed higher than thirteenth the earlier yr. The final April Masters winner to submit a top-10 the earlier yr was Spieth in 2015. Some potential winners this yr who completed outdoors the highest 10 final yr are Joaquin Niemann (T-16), Hideki Matsuyama (T-16), Cam Smith (T-34), Rory McIlroy (MC), Justin Thomas (MC), Will Zalatoris (DNS), Wyndham Clark (DNS) and Ludvig Aberg (DNS).
- Talking of Aberg and Clark, that is their first Masters. No one has gained their first Masters since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. Aberg is 30-1 and Clark is 45-1 to interrupt that drought.
- Bryson DeChambeau has shot 74 or worse in his final six rounds at Augusta. He’s opened 74-76-76 over the past three years.
Final seven April Masters Winners — Earlier 12 months End result
Jon Rahm: twenty seventh
Scottie Scheffler: 18th
Hideki Matsuyama: thirteenth
Tiger Woods: thirty second
Patrick Reed: MC
Sergio Garcia: thirty fourth
Danny Willett: thirty eighth
Chris “The Bear” Fallica has coated sports activities for almost three many years. Whereas faculty soccer has been his focus, he additionally enjoys the NFL, Soccer, Golf, Tennis, MLB, NHL and Horse Racing, with an “occasional” wager on such occasions. Chris lately gained the inaugural Circa Soccer Invitational and completed within the Prime 10 of the Golden Nugget Soccer Contest. He is a multiple-time qualifier for the NHC Handicapping Championship. Bear in mind, “The much less you guess, the extra you lose whenever you win!” Comply with him on Twitter @chrisfallica.
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